Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.085201 0.098788 0.113645 0.131072 0.150924 0.172806 0.198726
2024-12-29 0.066019 0.084356 0.106206 0.134049 0.168462 0.209470 0.261897
2025-01-05 0.051692 0.072021 0.098155 0.133953 0.181412 0.241833 0.324188
2025-01-12 0.040236 0.060671 0.088812 0.129938 0.187951 0.266208 0.378955
2025-01-19 0.032480 0.052630 0.082155 0.127876 0.196011 0.292698 0.438866
2025-01-26 0.028768 0.049661 0.081984 0.134611 0.216817 0.338607 0.530357
2025-02-02 0.025629 0.046917 0.081542 0.140560 0.236770 0.384938 0.626841
2025-02-09 0.021201 0.041176 0.075336 0.136275 0.239887 0.405625 0.685943
2025-02-16 0.018144 0.037238 0.071444 0.135074 0.247500 0.433631 0.758625
2025-02-23 0.015304 0.033157 0.066625 0.131464 0.250346 0.453749 0.819830
2025-03-02 0.013070 0.029829 0.062637 0.128693 0.254102 0.475385 0.885048
2025-03-09 0.011692 0.027986 0.061166 0.130346 0.265868 0.511680 0.978343
2025-03-16 0.009895 0.024959 0.056987 0.126346 0.266896 0.529492 1.041604
2025-03-23 0.009228 0.024343 0.057682 0.132230 0.287658 0.585331 1.178998
2025-03-30 0.008276 0.022877 0.056340 0.133687 0.299748 0.625955 1.291565
2025-04-06 0.007120 0.020681 0.053033 0.130454 0.301813 0.647379 1.369287
2025-04-13 0.006230 0.018980 0.050591 0.128775 0.306881 0.675036 1.461298
2025-04-20 0.005949 0.018852 0.051868 0.135762 0.331409 0.744000 1.641015
2025-04-27 0.005636 0.018573 0.052732 0.141868 0.354579 0.812024 1.823987
2025-05-04 0.004858 0.016787 0.049493 0.137601 0.353705 0.829372 1.903504
2025-05-11 0.004317 0.015591 0.047603 0.136416 0.359814 0.862101 2.017814
2025-05-18 0.003750 0.014183 0.044908 0.132788 0.359651 0.880978 2.103723
2025-05-25 0.003286 0.013005 0.042656 0.129998 0.361182 0.903661 2.199538